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This analysis is completely wrong. Street fights benefit Ukrainian military, if anything. What we learned from the first week of war is that Ukrainian military
by tucnak 5y ago
This analysis is completely wrong. Street fights benefit Ukrainian military, if anything. What we learned from the first week of war is that Ukrainian military is becoming increasingly efficient at this. The vast majority of damage dealt by Russians is done by means of air strike targeted at regional centres and metropolia (Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odessa.) and it usually doesn't impede Ukrainian military, but simply wrecks havoc upon civilian population. All the major battles are happening on the outskirts of regional centres (Bucha, Hostomel, Mariupol, etc.) with only but marginal number of Russian military reconnaissance-diversion groups puncturing deep into the cities themselves. In the street fight, Ukrainian military has the upper hand. Ukrainian territorial defence is already running at 30K+ assault rifles and plenty of ammo, this stuff is rapidly dispensing down to smaller towns in which fights will soon take place.
The top priority (and in fact where much of the damage comes from) for Ukrainian military is to contest the airspace efficiently, which it can only achieve by means of Buk/S-300 air defence systems and the limited fleet of MiG-/Su- fighters available to them, but you have to see that it might just prove enough. Russian officers (Air force) are reluctant to fight this war, after all. They wouldn't want to lose their head in this...
If anything, Ukraine is winning this war. And it _will_ win this war, unless Russia is able to achieve air superiority over the skies pronto, which is very, very unlikely.
- allisdust 5y agoThat's just pro Ukraine propaganda rehashed by Western press to keep up the morale. While admirable, this will result in disbelief when major cities do fall. Its not easy to win against enemies that don't care about the lives of their own soldiers. They want Ukraine (or at least major portions of it including resource rich east and the coastal areas) and they have the staying power (despite crazy articles proposing that war is costing costing Russia 20 billion usd per day).
- tucnak 5y agoSource: I'm Ukrainian, and my family members serve in the Ukrainian military / Territorial defence. So no, this isn't just rehashed pro-Ukraine Western propaganda.
- mirntyfirty 5y agoI appreciate the insights. I have Ukrainian friends and hope that the country is being supported although the war is not being discussed.
- yks 5y agoConfirm from my sources on the ground, the only wild card military-wise is Russian air force but occupant ground forces on their own ngmi.
- allisdust 5y agoThank you. I defer to the ones actually doing the fighting! I hope the result goes your way and a stronger Ukraine emerges after the war. edit: Btw, off topic but I'm curious if these reports about discrimination against people of color fleeing Ukraine are true: https://time.com/6153276/ukraine-refugees-racism/ https://time.com/6153276/ukraine-refugees-racism/