I suppose this was a huge miscalculation. As far as I can see, the effect will be as follows: - EU countries are re-arming (Germany in particular). If they go t

I suppose this was a huge miscalculation. As far as I can see, the effect will be as follows: - EU countries are re-arming (Germany in particular). If they go through with that, they will be able to surpass Russia in terms of conventional force strength in a few years, even without US support. - The EU will remove their dependency on Russian oil&gas, removing Russian leverage and profits at the same time. - Even if Russia is able to gain military control of the Ukrain, it will take decades of suppression for them to derive any net economic benefit. And by doing this, they will continously remind the world that they are the "bad guys", ensuring continues isolation.