4 ms·
My take: Russia will absorb Ukraine, and since there is nothing stopping them at the moment probably Moldova and Georgia as well. Lukashenko will give Belarus
by ratg13 5y ago
My take:
Russia will absorb Ukraine, and since there is nothing stopping them at the moment probably Moldova and Georgia as well. Lukashenko will give Belarus to Russia.
Once all of these places have been assimilated, they are now all Russia. You can no longer support the citizens of these areas because they will all be Russians.
Russia will continue to isolate themselves and attempt to turn everyone within their borders against the west.
They already practiced cutting themselves off from the entire internet last year, so they likely know how bad things will get.
Russia can sustain itself if it wants because it is so large, so it appears they are attempting to build some sort of enclave at any cost.
- trymas 5y ago> Russia can sustain itself if it wants because it is so large, so it appears they are attempting to build some sort of enclave at any cost. Likely, though not like they are not dependant from outside world, i.e. they can become soviet union 2.0 with iron curtain 2.0. Their commercial aviation is dependant on boeing and airbus - no parts for foreseeable future. Big portion of shipping containers will stop coming, banks are restricted and foreign money is pulling out (moscow exchange is closed for the 4th day), etc. Good writeup here: https://twitter.com/dmitryopines/status/1499157917399977987?s=21 https://twitter.com/dmitryopines/status/1499157917399977987?... They maybe take Ukraine, but russian economy is on borderline collapse I think.
- ratg13 5y agoIf they take Ukraine they will take Belarus as well. There is evidence that this is already in the works, for example the article that was published prematurely suggesting Russia has already absorbed Belarus https://www.newsweek.com/state-run-russian-news-site-accidentally-declares-ukraines-defeat-1683455 https://www.newsweek.com/state-run-russian-news-site-acciden... also https://mobile.twitter.com/VoicesBelarus/status/1498969501844520964 https://mobile.twitter.com/VoicesBelarus/status/149896950184...
- trymas 5y agoAgree - though I think belarus is already de facto part of russia.