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Devil's advocate here: can we — for the sake of the argument — assume for a sec that what Russia's been saying is true, and that their goal is: not having Nato
by maratc 5y ago
Devil's advocate here: can we — for the sake of the argument — assume for a sec that what Russia's been saying is true, and that their goal is: not having Nato in Ukraine?
Because if we can — for the sake of the argument — assume that, their winning condition is achieved. Ukraine, being in the middle of a military conflict, won't be admitted to Nato.
- netsharc 5y agoThat was already achieved before the invasion, one of the NATO criterias for entry is not to have disputed borders. https://www.rferl.org/a/1099020.html https://www.rferl.org/a/1099020.html search for "territorial disputes".
- maratc 5y agoI don't think that stopped Turkey (having a territorial dispute with Cyprus) from being admitted. Also, your interpretation means Russians would have to rely on Nato interpreting their own criterias in a certain way. This may be a reasonable thing for you or me — but I don't think it's a reasonable thing for the Russians, considering all the bad blood between Russia and Nato for the last 70 years.
- netsharc 5y ago"winning condition is achieved", hooray, the Putin in your imagination thinks, Ukraine won't be a member of NATO, never mind the cost of economic destruction of Russia?
- maratc 5y agoMy imagination has nothing to do with it, but from what I know from history, countries will go to great lengths — sometimes leading to their destruction — when they feel their existence is under a threat.
- shrikant 5y agoThis is naive thinking at best. This isn't a "smart contract". The only reason a club has membership rules is to be able to selectively apply them and keep applicants out. Stated slightly differently: a club's membership rules are really just "rejection rules". If big name members of a club want someone to have membership, then there's all sorts of flexibility that can be found within the scope of the rules, ranging from a narrow relaxed interpretation to creative accounting to outright one-off exceptions. THe best example that I can think of currently is Greece's membership to the EU, where the EU conveniently just looked the other way despite pretty stark evidence that Greece had cooked their books.
- netsharc 5y agoHonestly, why go to war to prevent another contract, that can also be broken: that some men agree they'll defend each other's countries?
- Paradigma11 5y agoThere is zero chance of a country being admitted that has a territorial conflict with russia. But russia is trying to solve this problem right now, so making ukraines medium term admission more feasable.