What's wrong with this article specifically? All of the statements in the early paragraphs are factual to my knowledge, and the last section about Putin's next

What's wrong with this article specifically? All of the statements in the early paragraphs are factual to my knowledge, and the last section about Putin's next steps are clearly speculation, but evidence is provides to support the claims made. Lastly, the author seems credible. This is his area of expertise and he's served as ambassador to a co-belligerent in this conflict.