3 ms·
Here is a post made to the site Less Wrong December 22 that begins, "Assume that you know with a high degree of confidence that Russia will invade Ukraine in Fe
by hollerith 5y ago
Here is a post made to the site Less Wrong December 22 that begins, "Assume that you know with a high degree of confidence that Russia will invade Ukraine in February 2022," then asks for investment advice:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QEsqKFabffwKXAPso/ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QEsqKFabffwKXAPso/
Same content with different web-site design decisions:
https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/QEsqKFabffwKXAPso/ https://www.greaterwrong.com/posts/QEsqKFabffwKXAPso/
- Ambolia 5y agoAlex Jones also predicted when the war would happen on a video posted October 2021 [1] He is supposed to have intelligence contacts, so maybe it was more or less a known outcome in those circles. [1] https://www.trendsmap.com/twitter/tweet/1496681530005110785 https://www.trendsmap.com/twitter/tweet/1496681530005110785
- Beltalowda 5y agoAlex Jones predicts a lot of things, most of which are bonkers, but sooner or later one or two of them will turn out to be correct just by chance ("a broken clock is right twice a day").
- anikan_vader 5y agoIt was clear by then that the Russian military was building up on the Ukrainian border. Additionally the ground in Ukraine is usually thawed by April, making an armored invasion much trickier. Assuming it would take the Russians one more month to make preparations, a person in December could have predicted that the Russians would invade in February or early March, if at all.