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There's certainly a possibility that change will not happen, but this is the best chance we have without escalating it to a world war. Sanctions on elites have
by jacktribe 5y ago
There's certainly a possibility that change will not happen, but this is the best chance we have without escalating it to a world war.
Sanctions on elites have not caused regime change in other authoritarian regimes, we have even less reason to believe that it would happen with this one.
Russian people need to see that they are at a crossroads, and if they don't act in this narrow time window by organizing and protesting by the millions, they may indeed end up like North Korea.
- necovek 5y agoIt's really interesting that you point out that "sanctions on elites" have not worked, but seem to assume that general sanctions have. Do you have any example where they have worked? We've got plenty of examples where they haven't.
- ipaddr 5y agoSouth Africa
- necovek 5y agoThank you: this is the sole example that I've seen where there is, at least, a correlation. Does not convince me that it's a generally applicable tool. Still didn't end up in an overthrow of the regime, but rather regime recognizing that writing is on the wall, but definitely could be a case in point.