The smartest defence thinkers I know and/or follow (I worked in the space for a few years, enough to know I didn't want to be there but I did meet some really s

The smartest defence thinkers I know and/or follow (I worked in the space for a few years, enough to know I didn't want to be there but I did meet some really sharp people) have all switched to a pretty cautious tone in the last few days. Not because they think Ukraine will lose the war necessarily, but that short of a palace coup we need to give someone as unhinged as Putin a way out of this. The "dunking" has been coming fast and furious and for good reason, but we could get to a place where he has no way out but forward. Historically it's rare or non existent that a losing strongman would go out quietly.