> Risks associated with war will begin to look smaller. This is not a "cognitive bias" but a design feature of a mind shifting from navigating a prestige-based

> Risks associated with war will begin to look smaller. This is not a "cognitive bias" but a design feature of a mind shifting from navigating a prestige-based world to a dominance-based world. That's absolutely a cognitive bias, and that's exactly the manner in which cognitive biases emerge over time. It being a "normal" biological or social adaptation does not mean it is not a cognitive bias: all cognitive biases are "normal" adaptations (although they are often maladaptive). > Your psychology was designed for a world of small-group aggression. Not a world of nukes. This mismatch means that your intuitions are not always optimal guides. Balancing emotions for group-aggression with cold reason is key over the next days and, possibly, years. Case in point.