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It's good to see these "ists and isms" and various X-punk movements, because that means we are _thinking_ about this stuff and that popular philosophy of scienc
by nonrandomstring 5y ago
It's good to see these "ists and isms" and various X-punk movements,
because that means we are _thinking_ about this stuff and that popular
philosophy of science is alive.
"Futur-ism" has it's origins in 1920s/30s European design
aesthetics. It's a strange projection of the values of the wealthier
classes, mixed with some early fascist-industrial values, but also
influenced by the Grand Exhibitions (for example Crystal Palace, or
the World's Fair (Exposition Universelle where the Eiffel Tower was
built)). For America this kind of thing had enormous cultural
influence, for example [1] how General Motors/Chrysler projected a
future to the growth-hungry 1950s USA.
To a large degree this works. We imagine things we desire through
science-fiction and go on to create them. But Futurism has gotten
conflated with Futurology, by the likes of Kurzweil - the idea of
technological singularity - and the modern Cosmists for whom
quasi-religious ideas like "uploading your brain into the cloud" hold
huge appeal. This movement seems qualitatively different in its
departure from desirable "Earthly" goals, toward technological
determinism, cybernetic governance, a sense of "inevitability" and
"uniquity" to everything, and as Neil Postman put it, "abject
surrender to technology".
The counter-movement today is Humane Technology, see for example [2]
which resonates somewhat with the "cozy-punk" theme of the
article. Space travel is at the intersection. It's simultaneously
useful and useless at present - a Kierkegaardian state of man whose
feet are in the mud but head in the stars. We can integrate a very
optimistic view of space technology for peaceful purposes.
However, remember "the future" isn't cozy (by definition), because it's
an unknown we should rightfully have a respectful fear of. Every
technology will bring its benefits and dangers, pleasures and pains.
Leftists will project egalitarian values on to what we can
technologically achieve. Libertarians will uphold the (established in
the West/North) values of freedom, speed, individualism in their
technological vision. Some (evolutionary psychologists like Peterson)
will insist that a-priori we cannot escape the limitations of Pareto
dominance hierarchies, perhaps missing that all technologies are means
by which we escape limitations. However, the limits to growth (see
Meadows etc) will definitely put hard brakes on, because even with
fusion we are unlikely to become alchemists in this century or the
next.
The best we can hope for is to retain _human_ control of our direction
in science and technology. That's what seriously worries me today.
For all the talk of "Society's Will" we are teetering on the brink of
abdication of all human will, at least with respect to the digital
technologies before which we bow.
[1] https://www.formtrends.com/when-the-future-had-fins/ https://www.formtrends.com/when-the-future-had-fins/
[2] https://www.humanetech.com/ https://www.humanetech.com/
- germinalphrase 5y ago“For all the talk of ‘Society's Will’ we are teetering on the brink of abdication of all human will, at least with respect to the digital technologies before which we bow.” Because we will lose control over/ability to understand the decision making? Because limits to growth will force austerity? Because increased technological complexity leads to incomprehensible stochastic risks? Because…?
- nonrandomstring 5y agoThose are all good risk models/mechanisms you mention. But clearly the gamut of risks is unbounded. Human responses to those risks is not quite the same thing, so your "because?" questions need more context. > lose control over/ability to understand What someone from the Union of Concerned Scientists once called something like the "problem of the pulled-up ladder". I gave a talk on this, and relating to Thomas Thwaites "Toaster Project" [1], on the fact that we no longer have an education strategy that recognises that one generation cannot hold the knowledge to reconstruct technological society (100 years ago we could). > Because limits to growth will force austerity? Not necessarily, no. We've escaped Malthusian traps before, but staying ahead of the curve gets more precarious as our failure tolerances get tighter. For example fusion will be a positive step change, but we might arrive at a point where near-unlimited energy is still not sufficient to fix things (like a soil chemistry debt). > complexity leads to incomprehensible stochastic risks? Somewhat. We've always had that though. DDT, PFAS and Microplastics kinda caught us with our pants down. We have to be careful getting into Black Swan speculation. But in the cybersecurity realm _yes_, I deeply believe that we are constructing systems that _will_ fail catastrophically with almost total certainty. The focus then needs to be on mitigation, resilience and maintaining contingent technologies. I have said plenty on where I think the "cashless society" is leading. At present it's the psychological/sociological issues that most intrigue me - there's no doubt we're well into an era where we recognise solutionism is making many things worse, and are addicted/dependent, but don't have the psychological apparatus to societally extricate from what are widely understood as harmful courses of action. How we'll solve that is one of the most interesting questions of the century, I think. [1] http://thetoasterproject.org/ http://thetoasterproject.org/