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The nuclear stuff is posturing on Putin's part. The biggest reason nobody's sending troops to help Ukraine is to avoid the risk of nuclear escalation in the fir
by AdamH12113 5y ago
The nuclear stuff is posturing on Putin's part. The biggest reason nobody's sending troops to help Ukraine is to avoid the risk of nuclear escalation in the first place. To my understanding, fighting on the ground or establishing a no-fly zone in eastern Ukraine would require strikes into Russian territory using weapons like cruise missiles that could be loaded with nuclear warheads. So we're not doing that.
Neither widening the war beyond Ukraine nor randomly launching nukes at NATO would benefit Putin. And this is not even close to the tensest moments of the Cold War. So I'm not worried about World War 3 starting. The most likely outcome right now is that Russia is able to conquer Ukraine and ends up fighting a bloody insurgency while suffering under heavy sanctions. I don't know where that goes, but the rest of Europe will survive to find out.
All that being said, I don't want to downplay the significance of a major power starting a war to effectively redraw borders in Europe. That is a huge and terrible step away from the post-WW2 norm.
- csee 5y agoWhy are you assuming Putin is a rational actor. Can we please drop this assumption, his actions over the last week show the opposite.
- mpfundstein 5y agoamazing that you can judge whats rational for Putin to do and what not. quite an arm chair strategist you are, arent you?