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Short answer, no. Personal opinion, Putin is looking to create a buffer zone between Russia and the rest of Europe by annexing parts of Ukraine. As he's state
by throwaway743 5y ago
Short answer, no.
Personal opinion, Putin is looking to create a buffer zone between Russia and the rest of Europe by annexing parts of Ukraine.
As he's stated, he doesn't want Ukraine joining NATO, and it's likely, at least partly, due to Ukraine gov warming up to other western govs and likely allowing them to currently setup/operate listening posts for intel operations and the sorts within their territory.
To avoid this kind of activity happening there, Putin is looking to annex at least part of Ukraine and install a puppet gov there to handle managing things and keep western operations further away from Russia.
Best case outcome in this shitty situation, Russia annexes Donetsk + Luhansk. Mid case(?), Russian gov gets everything east of Kyiv. Worst case Russian gov takes all of Ukraine, but that doesn't seem very likely.
A compromise will probably come to fruition in the coming days/weeks. It's already being said that Putin also wants Ukraine to give up its military, but that's possibly a throw away demand in negotiations that he's open to taking off the table in order to get what he really wants, annexation/buffer zone.
It seems highly unlikely that the Russian gov would do this for resources (they've got enough), expanding an empire (that's just more shit to manage), or for ego sake (that's just stupid and Putin's too calculated for that being the reason). It's purely for political/strategic reasons, and it's ugly that lives civilian and military are the cost for something like this.
- AnimalMuppet 5y agoInvade a country to persuade them to give up their military? In what world would anyone expect that to work?