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Putin likes to play poker and bluff his way into advantageous situations, but he overplayed his hand. He bet that Ukraine would fold quickly to avoid major mili
by etempleton 5y ago
Putin likes to play poker and bluff his way into advantageous situations, but he overplayed his hand. He bet that Ukraine would fold quickly to avoid major military conflict and loss of life allowing him to install a pro-Russian government. This obviously did not happen.
Worse, for Putin, the Russian military is under performing against what should be an over-matched Ukraine.
His favorite tool is to threaten others, but he just lost the ability to threaten traditional military action because if he can't easily take Ukraine how would he take Finland or Sweden, let alone a NATO country? That leaves only one remaining bluff and that is the use of nuclear weapons. He might be desperate enough to use it, but I think his own inner-circle would overthrow him to prevent it. Look at the faces of his high command in recent videos. They are demoralized. I would be surprised if he survives this.
- mach1ne 5y agoExactly. Putin personally seems to only have bad choices right now. He is probably hoping that Russia will take Kiev quickly, which could alleviate some of the pressure. If the losses mount, he might be facing the fate of the Romanoffs pretty soon.
- csee 5y agoThere was no bluffing here. Can we get over this false idea that Putin is some calm strategist.
- etempleton 5y agoI never said he was a calm strategist. He is a gambler. It has worked for him in the past, but eventually when you gamble you lose. I associate gambling with a problem, not with strategic genius. Clearly a calm strategist would never have put themselves in such a disadvantaged situation.