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I'm in the same boat. I genuinely feel like the west and russia are in more danger than at almost any point in the cold war. The problem is that Russia's nucle
by pasabagi 5y ago
I'm in the same boat. I genuinely feel like the west and russia are in more danger than at almost any point in the cold war.
The problem is that Russia's nuclear doctrine was 'updated' to use 'tactical nukes' if they are threatened by conventional NATO forces. That's supposed to be in the situation where there's a NATO tank column rolling towards Moscow, but it's easy to see how lines could get blurred.
This creates a really plausible chain of events where NATO crosses a red line that was assumed to be bluff, then ends up getting dragged into a conventional NATO-vs-Russia conflict which leads to a nuclear exchange.
There is a silver lining to this scenario: you know the conditions in which Russia would use nukes: i.e. if they felt existentially threatened by NATO forces. That would give everybody a few days of warning in which you can evacuate.