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Yes, you're overreacting. I'm Russian-Canadian. I have no love for Putin. He's an evil monster that would blow up hundreds of his own citizens to justify invad
by deanCommie 5y ago
Yes, you're overreacting.
I'm Russian-Canadian. I have no love for Putin. He's an evil monster that would blow up hundreds of his own citizens to justify invading Chechnya and killing hundreds more.
But he's also not Hitler in the 30s. OK, I don't know what's in his heart. And I'm sure if you tried to describe the final extension of the Holocaust in 1936, people would laugh at you and say you're overreacting. Probably even German leadership itself in 1942 had no appetite for the details of The Final Solution. (There is a truly tremendous film about this from 2001 called Conspiracy [0])
But even if he had the ambition and drive and hatred of Hitler, he doesn't have the means. Germany was the 3rd largest economy throughout the 1930s. The military was in the same range, and it was arguably the most technologically innovative in tanks, submarines, and rockets until the rest of the world struggled to catch up throughout the war.
Russia isn't anywhere close, so it couldn't support or succeed in a land invasion even if tried.
The only fear might be if it actually launched ICBMs, but such actions cannot be done by the whims of one madman, and I believe there is enough reasonable people to stop Putin from doing so.
That's not to say things can't get much worse before they get better. The only thing that will stop Putin now is an internal coup, and while the protests are rising, the majority of the civilians still support him. The new sanctions look like they're helping, but there could still be tens of thousands of civilian deaths in Ukraine before this ends.
I also wouldn't put it past Putin to commit wholely to attempting to punish any non-NATO countries now via invasion. I think Finland has every reason to be EXTREMELY worried.
But i ultimately think the dominoes are falling. Russia can't survive being cut off from the rest of the world the way they have been. We're going to look back and remember this as the first step in Putin's fall. But whether it will take 2 weeks or 2 years remains to be seen.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conspiracy_(2001_film) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conspiracy_(2001_film)