> He knows that if he launched one, 3-4 other countries would launch theirs at him. Would they, though? And even if we take it as given that they would, do we

> He knows that if he launched one, 3-4 other countries would launch theirs at him. Would they, though? And even if we take it as given that they would, do we believe that he believes that? The West, and especially USA, has made a number of empty threats over the past couple of decades it's not hard to see why he may not consider this one credible.