Ukraine is lost. Russia too. Ramp up defense to the max and stay with it. For a long, long time. Do show strength, that is of utter importance. Do not threat

Ukraine is lost. Russia too. Ramp up defense to the max and stay with it. For a long, long time. Do show strength, that is of utter importance. Do not threaten their geostrategically important entry points they already took back in the last years. Direct help to Ukraine is risky, but morally unavoidable. Make the Russian pay for it heavily, but that also means the Ukrainians pay heavily. And there is always the risk of that bright light over the baltics. The Ukrainians may be a bit more than pissed, but the Russians would love to have hands on Odessa, Charkiw and Dnipropetrowsk among other things because of the weapons manufacturer there. I say hands on, they don't need to be there personally. That is what they mean with disarmament of the Ukraine. You may get a puppet regime there and that admirably tough little fucker Wolodymyr Selenskyj out alive. Oh, and yes, about two to four million Ukrainian refugees that somehow seem to prefer western decadence over Russian brotherhood. That is what I meant with the Ukrainians will be a bit more than pissed. They are fucked, plain and simple. But then again, all smaller nations that trust global Powers are fucked sooner or later, aren't they? Get those bloody Euros, especially Germans, get their shit together on their own in the long run. I know that sounds impossible. I have to know, I'm one of them, albeit one of their rarer specimen. And for a long time it was a good idea for the US not to let them left without supervision. They were responsible for two World Wars, remember? But there is no other way, they, especially the Germans, have to bleed a bit to stand on their own. They are cowardly and comfortable but for now stinking rich, so stirr them up. Pray Putin dies early in his bed, with or without the help of some less paranoid fraction of the apparatus. I doubt the latter. If the Russians want to make it on their own, now with a grey Tsar after they had it with red Tsars and before that with real Tsars, or for that matter with the Chinese, let them do it until the arctic melts and they begin to catch the scent of danger there. In short, do Cold War 2. And never forget, whatever you do, the Chinese are watching carefully. So show them what may happen. No business, even if it hurts badly.