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This is just posturing. There is no way that he will start WW3 over being blocked out of SWIFT. And no way that the military top command lets him do that either
by spupe 5y ago
This is just posturing. There is no way that he will start WW3 over being blocked out of SWIFT. And no way that the military top command lets him do that either.
- sofixa 5y agoI don't think it's about SWIFT, it's probably the sanctions on the Russian central bank, which are unexpected and harder hitting. So far it seems the war isn't going their way, the Ukrainian resolve is stiffer, and worldwide support is pretty decent ( in terms of armaments, financial, humanitarian, etc.). And sanctions have been quick and hard. I wouldn't be surprised if a man used to getting his way is throwing a fit. Considering the invasion ( there's no way it ends well), it's time we stop assuming Putin is rational. I hope there are people around him who can stop him.
- kazinator 5y ago> unexpected? What? Surely Putin didn't think the world will just go la la la, while he invades a neighboring nation?
- dane-pgp 5y agoWell, the world is only responding this firmly now that he is furthering his existing invasion of a neighboring nation.
- marssaxman 5y agoWhy wouldn't he think that? The world has never tried to stop him before.
- sofixa 5y agoCutting off SWIFT was expected as a heavy sanction, but sanctions on the central bank directly is a huge deal. The only other countries in that exclusive club are Venezuela, North Korea and Iran, and is crippling for the economy of the country.
- croes 5y agoMost thought the same about Russia invading Ukraine. You need only one who starts one rocket.
- awb 5y agoThe difference is there was theoretically something to be gained in Ukraine. I’m not sure what the benefits are of nuclear war. The only miscalculation I can think of is assuming the other side won’t respond.
- croes 5y agoCould simply be, "If I must go to hell, I take everyone with me".
- Koshkin 5y agoNah, in his own words, he is going to heaven while everyone else will just die.
- awb 5y agoStill requires a chain of consent. No world leader is operating the missle silos themselves.
- GameOfFrowns 5y ago>Still requires a chain of consent. No world leader is operating the missle silos themselves. You can't be sure how strong the climate of fear inside the Russian chain of command is. Consider the common bystander effect: almost everybody is expecting somebody else to act and do what's necessary but inconvenient and potentially lethal.
- awb 5y agoTrue but the bystander effect applies to threats to someone else. When the threat is to you and your family, I think fight or flight is more common. But yeah if the chain of consent thinks they can launch nukes without suffering retaliation then I could see a bystander effect coming into play.