4 ms·
Only tangentially relevant nitpick: shouldn't that first graph have a sigmoid shape since it represents chance of dying as a function of age. At age 130 is shou
by hwers 5y ago
Only tangentially relevant nitpick: shouldn't that first graph have a sigmoid shape since it represents chance of dying as a function of age. At age 130 is should top out at 100% but it shouldn't increase exponentially.
- mft_ 5y agoIt looks basically accurate, as it's showing your risk of dying at a particular point in time during your life. This risk increases as you get older: the you're more likely to die if you make it to 80 than at 70 or at 60, and so on. So it would seem accurate that the risk increases steadily with time. This table [0] shows the underlying data. If you plot age against death probability, you get a similarly-shaped curve to the article's. A sigmoid curve would seem to imply that your risk of dying decreases after a certain age, which isn't the case. I think what you're imaging is a curve that shows one's overall chance of dying at a particular age (rather than risk at a point in time)? Or am I missing your point? [0] https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
- jacquesm 5y agoI think it shows the risk of being dead by a particular age.