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How is it possible to draw such conclusions on day three of a war? This article makes it seem like Russia is winning and will soon be in Kiev. I've not seen any

How is it possible to draw such conclusions on day three of a war? This article makes it seem like Russia is winning and will soon be in Kiev. I've not seen anything saying the Russians are suffering massive losses, but rather that they are limiting their offense to minimize civilian casualties, have been rebuffed in some places, and are closing in on the enemy capitol. Did anyone publish, prior to the invasion, a timeline of how they expected it to go that had Russia far ahead of where they are on day three? If so, can you link it? If not, how do we know they are behind schedule?

dogma1138 5y ago
It’s not a question if they can take Ukraine but at what cost. They are behind schedule they couldn’t maintain objectives they captured and are still fighting over the same cities. They have given up on many objectives in south Ukraine and failed to secure a land bridge to Crimea. They have already given up on taking many primary objectives and are now bypassing them and pretty much concentrating nearly everything on Kyiv. The Pentagon, UK MoD and plenty of other entities have been publishing daily analysis. The fact that they lost so many assets and haven’t been able to establish air superiority (despite Ukraine having pretty much no Airforce and very limited AA) is a also clear indication of their current capabilities also. And I find it laughable to claim that they are limiting offenses on civilian targets when they are using MLRS and cluster munitions on cities and have been since the war began.
- ALittleLight 5y ago
  Behind what schedule? In my previous comment I asked for a schedule posted before the invasion. Has the Pentagon or MoD published such a timetable for how they expected it to go? What assets have they lost and what are reasonable expectations for losses? The kind of stuff I'm seeing here seems like half an analysis. "Russia has done X" okay, but what should we be expecting? How do we know if X is good or bad? I just haven't seen it. How much was this expected to cost Russia?

dogma1138 5y ago

It’s not a question if they can take Ukraine but at what cost. They are behind schedule they couldn’t maintain objectives they captured and are still fighting over the same cities. They have given up on many objectives in south Ukraine and failed to secure a land bridge to Crimea. They have already given up on taking many primary objectives and are now bypassing them and pretty much concentrating nearly everything on Kyiv. The Pentagon, UK MoD and plenty of other entities have been publishing daily analysis. The fact that they lost so many assets and haven’t been able to establish air superiority (despite Ukraine having pretty much no Airforce and very limited AA) is a also clear indication of their current capabilities also. And I find it laughable to claim that they are limiting offenses on civilian targets when they are using MLRS and cluster munitions on cities and have been since the war began.

ALittleLight 5y ago
Behind what schedule? In my previous comment I asked for a schedule posted before the invasion. Has the Pentagon or MoD published such a timetable for how they expected it to go? What assets have they lost and what are reasonable expectations for losses? The kind of stuff I'm seeing here seems like half an analysis. "Russia has done X" okay, but what should we be expecting? How do we know if X is good or bad? I just haven't seen it. How much was this expected to cost Russia?