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We have had thirty years of peace among the great powers. It’s been seventy years since armies last clashed in conventional, large-scale armored warfare on Euro
by w0de0 5y ago
We have had thirty years of peace among the great powers. It’s been seventy years since armies last clashed in conventional, large-scale armored warfare on European soil - or perhaps anywhere.
Through these years humanity learned to expect perpetual and cold stalemate as an inevitable paradigm between Russia and the West.
Over these generations, humanity has on average become wealthier and more educated and more democratic - all correlates of robust peace between nations.
You’re not the only one surprised. I have little doubt that everyone, even the CIA analysts generating grim predictions before the invasion, was at some level unable to believe something like this was possible in 2022.
We can still hope to prove it was the absurd strategic mistake our intuition had hoped it was.
- zx85wes 5y agoI just read this : https://twitter.com/i/status/1497252061678813187 https://twitter.com/i/status/1497252061678813187 EXCLUSIVE: I have been given a copy of document issued today by Russian Ministry of Health. It indicates Russia is anticipating a massive medical emergency & has ordered health organisations to immediately identify medical staff ready to relocate & work. Why doesn't this scare people to death?
- w0de0 5y agoYour question is rhetorical - forgive me. > Why doesn't this scare people to death? The human hierarchy of fear seems sorted by proximity and tractability, not a rational calculus of risk and probability. Abstract threats, or those percieved unavoidable, might inspire only apathy. And indeed, what can I possibly do about rumors of Russia considering nuclear war? I've kept Potassium Iodide stocked since 2014, which seemed practical and easy.