4 ms·
I think we are getting to a place where the use of nukes is so unthinkable that the deterrent effect is reduced. At which point maybe conventional war becomes
by 7952 5y ago
I think we are getting to a place where the use of nukes is so unthinkable that the deterrent effect is reduced. At which point maybe conventional war becomes more possible.
- klyrs 5y agoI'm entering my middle age, and I now expect a nuclear bombing to occur in my lifetime. I don't expect that it will evoke a scorched earth response, I expect it will happen to a country like Ukraine that nobody will stick up for. Politicians will tut and prevaricate and keep doomscrolling along with the rest of us. Unlike Hiroshima and Nagasaki, there will be no great reckoning. Economists will continue to play their chips to favorable positions, the Bad Boys League will continue to support eachothers' dictatorships, and trade will continue to diffuse through whatever palatable sanctions are instituted.