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> ... current EU and US leaders are asleep at the wheel. We have a different dynamic. Talking about sanctions looks almost pathetic. Yes, but NATO clearly stat
by jopsen 5y ago
> ... current EU and US leaders are asleep at the wheel. We have a different dynamic. Talking about sanctions looks almost pathetic.
Yes, but NATO clearly stating that they wouldn't intervene in Ukraine probably made events more predictable. Reducing the risk of escalation, and miscalculation.
Leaving Ukraine to fight on its own wasn't nice. But it's probably best NATO doesn't bluff too much.
Sanctions is probably not a solution, but it's a signal -- well, really it's the only thing that can be done.
- TheOtherHobbes 5y agoIf I were completely cynical and amoral I'd use Ukraine as a quagmire trap. Take direct intervention off the table, beef up the defences enough to cause a problem, and wait for the Russians to take the bait. Then when Russia is trapped in a continuing guerilla war which is generating huge economic consequences and negative PR at home and abroad, wait for the regime change in Russia to happen spontaneously. It's a risky strategy given nukes, but not entirely unimaginable as realpolitik.