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> I don't think Putin is going to stop after Ukraine - he may temporarily stop to rebuild and plan the next war, So far they seem to have occupied heavily pro-
by throwawaylinux 5y ago
> I don't think Putin is going to stop after Ukraine - he may temporarily stop to rebuild and plan the next war,
So far they seem to have occupied heavily pro-Russian areas very close to home that have not put up much resistance. I don't think that's a good indication they would just keep going further. Possibly though.
> but my belief is he will keep salami slicing until war is joined because he crosses some line that people stand up to him. Better to do it cheaper.
> The "you" was, well, everyone in the world. I don't really subscribe to the strange belief that I should only care about human suffering of my countrymen. However, if you do, the bigger the war gets, the worse it will be and the more far afield it will bring in other countries.
That is not my belief. It is my belief that I care about my countrymen more though or at least have more responsibility to them being that I have a vote in how the country is run, and it is also my belief that those with something to lose have to take a stand. I wouldn't want to send solders from my country even if Putin was driving a tank down the Champs-Elysees, if the French were all just sitting there waiting for me.
And pretty clearly Western European governments do not consider this a high risk given their military spending. So I just think it's very premature to take action based on the idea you can be so sure such a thing would happen.
> As far as "far from Russia's supply lines", their old border won't matter, they'll still be close to their bases in what was once Ukraine. Oh, and they'll have more resources from Ukraine. Plus, you won't have the 7th largest army in the world absorbing the brunt of their attack.
It would absolutely stretch supply lines and defenses. Reality isn't like an RTS you can't just keep conquering territory and it turns red and your resources immediately grow.
- HWR_14 5y ago> hey seem to have occupied heavily pro-Russian areas very close to home that have not put up much resistance. I don't think that's a good indication they would just keep going further. Since you wrote your comment, Putin has starting acting bellicose to Finland. No where near attacking - yet. But it certainly doesn't make "he's only going to nip a little and then stop forever" seem likely.
- throwawaylinux 5y agoDoes Finland have a lot of pro-Russian separatist areas on the borders? I would certainly be concerned about a Russian invasion if that's the case.
- HWR_14 5y agoRussia has definitely considered Finland part of Russia in the past. I wouldn't be concerned about a Russian invasion right now if I were Finland. Putin is probably going to take a break to consolidate. Besides, it takes a few years for pro-Russian "civilians" to establish a large illegal presence in Finland and start agitating as a separatist movement. I'd definitely be on the lookout for that.
- throwawaylinux 5y agoI wouldn't call people illegal like that. If Russian undocumented immigrants take up residence there and grow large in number then it's their right to decide how they are governed if they preferred to be part of Russia. It's one thing to condemn Putin's actions but quite another to demonize immigrants.