Well I appear to have been implicitly quite wrong. While it’s not clear Russia will try to hold Ukraine (“quagmire”), it does appear to have launched a full inv

Well I appear to have been implicitly quite wrong. While it’s not clear Russia will try to hold Ukraine (“quagmire”), it does appear to have launched a full invasion. Supposedly to “demilitarize” it — who knows what that will turn out to mean, but hopefully it does not involve a long term occupation. In terms of minimizing loss of life, at best we can hope for a Gulf War level annihilation and then speedy withdrawal, targeting the Ukrainian military, and mass destruction of civilian fundamental infrastructure, and worst of all, lots of civilians killed. There appear to have been many war crimes in that war, so I don’t offer it as an example of a “good war”. But I’m also not optimistic that even that example will be the maximum extent.