"Talent of the first kind is mostly not a thing (but eg some people may be predisposed to certain kinds of athleticism)." - Statements like this work reasonabl

"Talent of the first kind is mostly not a thing (but eg some people may be predisposed to certain kinds of athleticism)." - Statements like this work reasonably well on HN and stupendously on the very receptive New York Times audience, but fail miserably when the first real-life punch lands (figuratively) on the speaker's jaw. "Talent" or "genetic quality" or "genetic predisposition" when considering a skill or activity is a fact of life and has been demonstrated in countless studies of twins. I studied fish and birds for a long time and even there the main confounder when studying the effects of environment on life histories or physiological functions was "individual quality", the fact that just about everywhere certain individuals do much better than others for reasons other than "lucky breaks". I've also seen people run very fast (much faster than me), draw very well (I draw houses and people the same way), tune their guitar by saying la-la (whereas I can't tell the difference between a piano and a church bell).