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> Putin did not go through this massive hoopla just to get a small strip of land. He achieved his political objectives by just threatening invasion, without ac
by _xnmw 5y ago
> Putin did not go through this massive hoopla just to get a small strip of land.
He achieved his political objectives by just threatening invasion, without actually invading. An actual full-scale invasion is something nobody wants, least of all most ordinary Russians who have relatives in Ukraine.
> you won't have to wait very long to see why
I'd bet you on it if you set me a date. Westerners have been raising the alarm about a potential Russian invasion since time immemorial.
- martythemaniak 5y agoI'm down for a friendly or small sum bet. You'll see a major escalation in about a week. Russians will be firing missiles and artillery and dropping bombs in Ukraine proper in March. I certainly hope I lose.
- _xnmw 5y agoYou're on! $25 USD by TransferWise. There will be no further Russian military incursions into Ukraine proper by March 31st, except perhaps some shuffling around of the Donetsk/Luhansk border. Note I'm not expecting Putin to stop playing chess, he will never stop with his political power moves, he might blockade Odessa, but there will be no bloodshed. Mark my words. I look forward to peace in Ukraine, for the first time in 8 years. My email is in my profile.
- martythemaniak 5y agoSounds good. My email is my username at gmail. I hope you'll still stock up on various necessities and supplies in the mean time. If nothing happens, you'll still use them up all the same.
- _xnmw 5y agoLooks like I just lost the bet. Woke up to explosions at 5 AM this morning.
- yakshaving_jgt 5y agoI hope you've learned your lesson.
- csee 5y agoIf Russia claims the full oblasts which contain Ukrainian troops, how can they avoid war?