My pet theory is that Russia's natural resource production was looking to fall way short, so much so, even, that wouldn't be able to make their contractual obli

My pet theory is that Russia's natural resource production was looking to fall way short, so much so, even, that wouldn't be able to make their contractual obligations (i.e. international exports). This would have been an economic and political disaster. I guess we'll never know if I was right now, though, now that demand has fallen[0], supply has increased[1], and the people have been well distracted for some time to come. 0: https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-to-stop-nord-stream-2/ https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-to-stop-nord-stream-... 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_gas_in_Ukraine#shale_gas https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_gas_in_Ukraine#shale_g...