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Collapse is a complex topic, but essentially if the thesis is true, then we are on a downward spiral in complexity and in population. At some point, high tech w
by rdevsrex 5y ago
Collapse is a complex topic, but essentially if the thesis is true, then we are on a downward spiral in complexity and in population. At some point, high tech will be replaced with low-tech solutions that take less energy and less maintenance.
To me that means that there will be programmers, but far fewer, focused on only vital areas, like climate change adaptation.
I don't think it's an immediate concern, but if I was 22, I'd keep my eyes peeled and try to specialize in some field that would still exist if our main concern was trying to make do with less.
I know that's a bleaker outlook compared to the techno-utopianism that's common. That said, growth is a part of our system, so I think the outlook for programmers is great in the short term. Capital is going to try to maximize value right up until we fall off a cliff.
- usrbinbash 5y ago> At some point, high tech will be replaced with low-tech solutions that take less energy and less maintenance. Low-Tech does not automatically lead to a reduction in maintenance and energy required. Example: The electrical train systems of today are safer, more energy efficient and require less maintenance than their steam driven ancestors. Another example; Todays circuits require orders of magnitude less energy and maintenance than those built with electromechanical relais or vacuum tubes. Technology declines as a result of major catostrophes, be they socio-economic (like the fall of ancient empires) or as a result of natural catastrophes.