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Quality lumber is incredibly expensive now compared with 1914. I owned a 1910s-construction house for a while, and they used huge, thick wooden boards around th
by brimble 5y ago
Quality lumber is incredibly expensive now compared with 1914. I owned a 1910s-construction house for a while, and they used huge, thick wooden boards around the foundation where the structure met the stone-and-mortar basement walls, and in the floor joists (visible in the basement), and in the diagonally-run underfloor boards (used where we'd use plywood, today). Nearly knot-free, perfectly straight, that stuff would probably be put aside for high-end fine woodworking or even veneer-making, now. It was beautiful stuff and they stuck it under the floors. The ones around the walls must have been something like 8"x14" or bigger, and tens of feet long. Nearly-flawless pieces of lumber. I assume the wood used in the wall framing (some pieces likely three stories long—it was a balloon-construction house) was similarly astoundingly-good by modern standards.
That stuff was, evidently, so cheap from the perspective of people in the 1910s, that they didn't think it worth any amount of effort to sub in worse wood for places where looks didn't matter. These days, some of that would be hard to find at any price, short of salvaging it from old buildings like that. And that's the "crap" they put under the nice wood they used for finishing!
OTOH we do have drywall, which has got to be cheaper in pretty much every way than lathe-and-plaster.
- throwaway19423 5y agoI live in Canada, where we are swimming in lumber (in theory). I just don't understand why it is so expensive. I know the processing and treatment is very sophisticated but there is so much automation throughout the whole chain. My only explanation is that lumber is a globally traded commodity .. price isn't determined by just Canadian demand for lumber but the global demand. It makes me wonder .. if the US shutdown Canadian wood imports, would that significantly lower prices for Canadian consumers? How low would it go?
- mistrial9 5y agomy un-schooled guess is simple - the rest of the industrialized world has benefited from profit markups in real dollars of today - that fun book or skateboard was priced in modern terms.. while lumber is a commodity from the previous century or three.. their dollars and costs were low to start with, and were pressed down by commodity markets. I once asked a recent undergrad in Economics graduate, at a party, why one pound of bread costs more than one pound of meat (the inputs and processing costs are vastly different, through the life of the animal, the meat should be way, way more) but, blank stare, more beer. I for one believe that most of the markets, most of the time, make no sense at all from the perspective of the real natural inputs, and all the sense in the world from the point of view of one human group selling things to another human group, any way they can; old timber included.
- jefftk 5y agoA pound of the cheapest bread here is $0.86. The cheapest meat (bone in chicken) is about double that.
- aperson_hello 5y agoHere, it's about the same cost ($0.86) for both the bread and the chicken (whole chicken - or even cheaper for leg quarters)
- AlanSE 5y agoBread doesn't seem like the best example here, because the finished product is not dense, can't be smushed, and has to get shipped to the store. Transport plus the shelf space (and rotation) can explain most of the price. If you look at pure flour, rice, beans, pasta, and stuff like that, there are lots of cases where it drops from prepared-foods price down to something closer to its commodity value. Looking up rice, it goes for $14/c.w.t., which I think translates to a little over $0.10 per pound. You can't buy it at that price, but you can buy a literal 1 lb bag of the bad rice for $1.00. Consider larger quantities and you'll probably see an asymptote to a reasonable multiple times the commodity value. Meat will not follow those rules. The floor for meat is much higher due to the physical inefficiency of production. Even at that higher price floor, there are huge untaxed externalities. A lot of people know the reality that we have to eat a lot less meat due to halt climate change. I think there is a strong business and social culture for businesses to move meat at close to its price floor, with business models like fast food.
- kevin_thibedeau 5y agoBread is easily produced locally or regionally from bulk materials. Processed meats are shipped hundreds and thousands of miles to the consumer.
- mistrial9 5y agoas a consumer, I will walk to the corner store here in the California city, and I will check the price of a loaf of ordinary bread, and the price of a pound of ordinary meat, again today or tomorrow. Not "the cheapest rice by the ten pound bag" .. or "chicken parts whole in a ten pound bag" I believe my point stands.. yes, there are layers in the consumer markets.. times one hundred for a fast food meal, too.
- downrightmike 5y agoWhy chop down 100 trees for $1/tree when you can chop down one tree at $100/tree?
- bigyikes 5y agoThe question is, why can you chop down one tree at $100/tree?
- alar44 5y agoBecause it's a 0 effort renewable resource.
- Thorrez 5y agoThe question is why is the sale price $100. If it's 0 effort, you would think it would be cheaper.
- michaelt 5y agoImagine my great-grandfather planted a seed 150 years ago for $0, then we did nothing but wait for 150 years, then I chop it down and get $100 of lumber. But you can't enter the market and compete with me, because you don't have the right grandfather.
- Rd6n6 5y agoProperty values in Canada are quite high. That free free squatted on non-free land for 150 years before you got to chop it down. How many dollars per year did the land cost for those 150 years? Just saying that the free tree isn’t free
- rmah 5y agoMarx's labor theory of value is wrong.
- downrightmike 5y ago
- JKCalhoun 5y agoI would not be surprised if Canadian lumber was going to China. I believe a lot of Alaskan lumber, if not the majority of it, was China bound (this may have been close to two decades ago though when I had heard that).
- moistly 5y agoCanadians are so stupid that we have allowed raw logs to be sold to Chinese offshore lumber mill ships, to be sold back to us, instead of insisting that the value-added processes be kept on-shore so that we have good-paying jobs for our own citizens.
- selestify 5y ago> so that we have good-paying jobs for our own citizens. Protectionism isn't always a good idea. Doing so would've made the final lumber output more expensive for Canadian consumers. Automation is coming for the good-paying jobs sooner or later, anyways. The solution wasn't/isn't to ban outsourcing/automation, it's to better distribute the gains from outsourcing/automation across society.
- moistly 5y agoThe better mills have amazing automation. Penetrating scan of the log and then laser-guided slicing and dicing to maximize wood usage and profitability. Now if only the lumber were properly dried instead of shipped slopping wet. (Actually, I suspect the kiln-dried lumber is destined for wealthy foreign markets; we locals get the c-grade crap. I have spent literally more than an hour picking through stacks to find enough good lumber to build a shed.)
- throwaway0a5e 5y agoThe kiln drying process is exactly why you get what you get. When you crank the kiln to 11 in order to get the most throughput out of it you get residual stress and bent boards. A covered pile outdoors or in a warehouse will yield straighter lumber (or just don't crank the kiln to 11) but that is not economically viable for random pine that people frame things with.
- Terry_Roll 5y ago>It makes me wonder .. if the US shutdown Canadian wood imports, would that significantly lower prices for Canadian consumers? How low would it go? It probably wouldnt go low because you are not recognising global demand and a growing global population, cost of automation for factory (automated built) furniture, bespoke furniture by individual or small teams of carpenters, cost of transporting wood to other countries where costs are different. Here in the UK we have this place https://www.oakfurnitureland.co.uk/ https://www.oakfurnitureland.co.uk/ it does real solid (oak) wood furniture, not some furniture made of chipboard. It seems quite cheap but there are visible cost savings, like the furniture isnt that big, its suited to smaller homes than some grand mansion or luxury home, and with a lot of businesses, where finance/credit is available, sometimes the company main business is actually a credit broker/finance specialising in a niche market product. Some people have said GE (General Electric) is now more a financial entity than a manufacturer, this is business diversification over the decades.
- nly 5y ago> the furniture isnt that big, its suited to smaller homes To be fair, pretty much anything built after 1960 is small, and all UK housing is small by American standards. I also don't think most people in the UK consider OakFurnitureLand a cheap, or even an affordable place to buy furniture. Despite being made of cheap internationally sourced oak, and somewhat mediocre, it's definitely a premium brand. If you were to buy all your furniture there many people would consider you well off. Spot on with the reality of their finance business though
- taffronaut 5y agoI spent quite a lot of time in https://www.oakfurnitureland.co.uk/ https://www.oakfurnitureland.co.uk/ returns outlet picking through stuff. I furnished most of a house from there. The furniture is made in places like Thailand, and woods like mango are used as well as 'oak'. They must make reasonable margins even with the normal prices they charge. I'm sure they also benefit at least on their lower tier of credit plus upsells on insurance etc. I didn't encounter any of that as the outlet was strictly cash. Even the carcasses use solid wood. Some of the returned furniture had cracks in interior wooden boards where a composite like ply/chip/MDF would not have cracked. I guess solid wood is lighter, part of their brand and they have less diversity of material sourcing. It must pay off, even with slightly higher returns.
- ajuc 5y agoI don't think most countries build houses of wood like North America does. In Europe houses are mostly built of various kinds of bricks and concrete. Only the roofs in detached houses are usually made of wood (and not all of them). That's how most houses are built in central Europe for example: https://budujemydom.pl/i/2020/01/02/215608-d885-1100x0-sc1x50562_forumbd-mundos-budujemydompl.jpg https://budujemydom.pl/i/2020/01/02/215608-d885-1100x0-sc1x5... Of course later the insulation is added: https://s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pressland-cms/cache/__original__/tl/20503051-https-bi.jpeg https://s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pressland-cms/cache/__...
- throwawaygal7 5y agoIn the American south, there are a lot of masonry, or concrete homes or even AAC. See florida. In the north masonry homes have a lot of problems with freeze thaw cycles. As far as upgrades , remodeling, overall costs goes stick built homes are superior.
- ajuc 5y ago> In the north masonry homes have a lot of problems with freeze thaw cycles That's weird, central Europe has pretty northern climate with cold snowy winters and hot summers and I've never heard about any such problems. I've lived my whole life in such houses. You just need proper insulation (but you need it anyway cause heating is expansive). I think Americans don't much care for good windows for example, at least in the movies they have these weird 1-layer sliding windows that nobody would use here :). > As far as upgrades , remodeling, overall costs goes stick built homes are superior. There's a bit of stigma against wooden houses here and they are considered worse investment because they degrade and lose value much faster.
- rmah 5y agoSingle pane windows are not common in the US in anything built in the last 30 years or so (give or take a few decades). Sliding windows are usually 2 or even 3 pane. Movies use single pane candy "glass" windows so characters can be thrown through them.
- zizee 5y agoI'm really curious to know why, in our hyper-industrialized world of today, is lumber so expensive when compared to yesteryear? Is it cost of land on which it grows? Is it increased demand because of population growth? Increased demand because of new uses? Increased demand because of global markets? Is it because lumbar prices were artificially depressed because the cost of growing new trees was not included (because people were just cutting down what was already there). Maybe it is because land/housing prices have gone up so much, people are just willing to spend more as it is a relative small percentage of the total cost of housing?
- brimble 5y agoMy dad, born in toward the end of WWII, has complained for at least the last three decades that it keeps getting harder every year to find usable boards at lumber yards. Tons of them warped, damaged, way too many knots or other problems, and so on, and that's when you are shopping a couple tiers up from the worst stock. I don't know why that is, but that seems to be the trend he's seen over his life. Makes sense, if he came into adulthood about halfway between the unthinkably-nice framing & foundational lumber in that 1910s house, and now, and it was a somewhat continuous process instead of some sudden change.
- zizee 5y agoInteresting. This might be explained by the switch from old growth to new growth^. Older trees would be larger, and have more core to work with (I think knots are mostly from the outer layers of the tree). ^ this is pure speculation
- brimble 5y agoThat would be my guess for at least part of the reason, too, but it'd only be a guess. I also wouldn't be surprised to find out that tree species plays a role, and that we plant species for harvest that simply produce worse lumber than what used to be widely available (as old growth).
- irrational 5y ago
- tablespoon 5y ago> Quality lumber is incredibly expensive now compared with 1914.... Nearly knot-free, perfectly straight, that stuff would probably be put aside for high-end fine woodworking or even veneer-making, now. It was beautiful stuff and they stuck it under the floors. Could that have been lumber from old growth forests that are now either extinct or protected from logging? IIRC, lumber nowadays is basically farmed using relatively fast-growing trees.
- rightbyte 5y agoI don't know if it is true that quality today is worse, but they used way more wood for heating back then. So maybe they picked the nice trees for wood work and lit up the rest. Trees on plantation are straighter than wild trees.
- jiggawatts 5y agoA detail I liked in the Blade Runner 2049 movie was the office of the Wallace Corporation CEO -- every surface was covered in wood. Right after seeing that movie I visited an old house where everything is wood. Huge wood cabinets, wood floors, wood ceiling, etc... I suddenly realised that I can't afford wood furniture any more! The IKEA stuff I buy these days is made of "manufactured" materials that are "wood-like", but have essentially cardboard honeycomb between two sheets of plywood or something. I used to have IKEA furniture that was solid pine, but good luck finding anything like that in their store these days...
- kwhitefoot 5y agoWhy would anyone want solid pine? Furniture has been made of veneered wood for a very long time. It has been popular since the late 17th century, long before IKEA. IKEA do have some solid pine (furu). Here is one https://www.ikea.com/no/no/p/rast-kommode-med-3-skuffer-furu-75305709/ https://www.ikea.com/no/no/p/rast-kommode-med-3-skuffer-furu... It didn't take long to find it in their catalogue. Anyway, IKEA is not the only company selling furniture. You are correct that most solid woods are expensive (not pine usually though) but that is at least in part simply due to high demand for such furniture and the lack of supply of the raw materials.
- wincy 5y agoThis reminded me of the fact that the US Navy maintains a forest of trees that are of appropriate size to keep planks for the USS Constitution, the last remaining wooden US Navy vessel. https://taskandpurpose.com/mandatory-fun/constitution-grove-indiana-navy https://taskandpurpose.com/mandatory-fun/constitution-grove-...
- mdturnerphys 5y agoSweden planted 300,000 oak trees on a particular island in the 1830s, after the Napoleonic wars, to provide lumber for future naval ships. It takes the trees about 150 years to reach a suitable size, so they were well obsolete for their intended purpose before they were ready. https://www.atlasobscura.com/places/visingso-oak-forest https://www.atlasobscura.com/places/visingso-oak-forest
- xyzzyz 5y agoThat’s because when this country was still being settled, standing trees were an obstacle in the course of productively developing all this land, which, at the time, meant mostly agriculture. Before big machines arrived on the scene, getting rid of all of that heavy garbage was a lot of labor, and since there was a lot of trees around, and shipping them far away was way too expensive, there were few buyers, all of which made prices low. When all local trees were cut, land had been developed into farms and towns, and lumber needed to be shipped from further away, prices started going up.
- thedougd 5y agoLong leaf pine of the South Eastern United States is now also used as a heating and electricity generation fuel as far away as Europe. North Carolina is on track to become the World's largest single source of wood pellets[1]. On the other hand, during the lumber shortage of 2020/1 the bottleneck was at the mill. 1. https://energynews.us/2019/12/02/estonia-is-beginning-to-see-the-cost-of-wood-pellets-is-north-carolina-next/ https://energynews.us/2019/12/02/estonia-is-beginning-to-see...