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No, they've overshot dramatically. The only model coming close to being accurate was the INM-CM4 model, which predicted a mild 0.1C increase per decade. All o
by chrisco255 5y ago
No, they've overshot dramatically.
The only model coming close to being accurate was the INM-CM4 model, which predicted a mild 0.1C increase per decade.
All of these models have done a poor job of predicting cloud cover albedo and sensitivity. There is no good model for predicting cloud cover over decades of time and it turns out it's one of the most critical factors in the climate system.
Anyways, to read more about these issues, see:
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1029/2021GL096204 https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.102...