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How can "the science" say that warming will be worse than all of the scientific models say it will be?

• cosheaf 5y ago
  The science is not saying anything like that. I am the one saying things will be worse because the models have consistently underestimated second order greenhouse effects like ocean acidification and the collapse of the transatlantic currents and general slowdown of other ocean currents along with their effects on global weather patterns.
  • chrisco255 5y ago
    And yet they haven't. The past two decades haven't been indicative of runaway warming with feedback loops, but just a paltry 0.1C/decade trend. If what you say is true, you should be able to pull up a model published in 2002 or 2012 and analyze its predictions from the observations. That's science. A model is only as good as its performance against reality, and the truth is, 98+% of the models in the IPCC analysis from one and two decades ago overshot in their predictions.
    • cosheaf 5y ago
      Here you go: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-annual-greenhouse-gas-index https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/....