6 ms·

So the problem with this explanation is the straight infection rate is steady while the gay one is what’s changing recently. There’s no reason to suspect a yet

• woodruffw 5y ago
  > So the problem with this explanation is the straight infection rate is steady while the gay one is what’s changing recently. No, the sampled rates for each are what they are. I've extensively described the sampling bias with each. > There’s no reason to suspect a yet undetected spike in straight infections. There doesn't need to be a spike for what I'm saying to be true. But even still, demographic trends support the (unverified!) hypothesis that straight men will continue to grow as a proportion of diagnosed HIV cases: increased IV drug use, increased availability of non-barrier prophylactics, etc. But again, I've said all of this before.