Yeah, oracles are a common solution to the question of "how should the prediction market get resolved". We think there are some usability problems with oracles

Yeah, oracles are a common solution to the question of "how should the prediction market get resolved". We think there are some usability problems with oracles in practice, which is why most prediction markets (e.g. PredictIt, Kalshi) still end up relying on platform resolution. That said, we'd be very happy if anyone was interested in setting up an oracle on our Manifold! "User-resolved" includes the possibility of "user publicly commits to resolving all markets via an automated, predefined oracle".