ok let me apply some "science" to this. where did 70% come from? it's a very convenient number as it gives just below 50% outcome, to "prove" that "more often t

ok let me apply some "science" to this. where did 70% come from? it's a very convenient number as it gives just below 50% outcome, to "prove" that "more often than not" our assumptions are wrong. let's bump this "guestimate" by 1%. and, whoa, now we "more often than not" are right. don't get me wrong. science is good and all that. but our gut feeling got us through some really rough ride, so let's not write it off just yet...