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Robert X Cringely quote† from 7 months back, posted earlier today by Gruber‡: > Then there’s Meg Whitman, who expected at this point to have resigned from the

by alanh 15y ago

Robert X Cringely quote† from 7 months back, posted earlier today by Gruber‡: > Then there’s Meg Whitman, who expected at this point to have resigned from the HP board to spend all her time running California as governor. But that didn’t happen, so now what is she to do? [...] She’ll eventually get around to hip-checking Apotheker and taking his job. † http://www.cringely.com/2011/02/why-leo-apotheker-will-be-fired-from-hewlett-packard/ http://www.cringely.com/2011/02/why-leo-apotheker-will-be-fi... ‡ http://daringfireball.net/linked/2011/09/22/cringely-apotheker-whitman http://daringfireball.net/linked/2011/09/22/cringely-apothek...

shalmanese 15y ago
This strikes me as an excellent demonstration of the "make as many wild ass predictions as possible until one of them hits and then have everyone think you're a visionary genius".
- jfischer 15y ago
  Yes, Cringely can really be out in left field sometimes. A good example was his recent theory that Tim Cook is only a temporary CEO and that Steve Jobs has a secret hand-picked successor that he will name in the future [1]. I read Cringely partly for the entertainment value and partly because he really does think out of the box. When the strange happens, at least we're not surprised. [1] http://www.cringely.com/2011/08/cupertino-two-step/ http://www.cringely.com/2011/08/cupertino-two-step/
- samstave 15y ago
  If you are sufficiently connected to massive amounts of information, it is possible to be able to see many possibilities and make accurate predictions which, given the right circumstance, can come true. This doesn't mean that his predictions were so wild - but that reality was so drastically divergent than what would have been perceived to the future. I.E. There are definitely times when one can extrapolate very accurately multiple/many possibilities given an assessment of the current state. Connecting-the-dots.

by alanh 15y ago

shalmanese 15y ago

This strikes me as an excellent demonstration of the "make as many wild ass predictions as possible until one of them hits and then have everyone think you're a visionary genius".

jfischer 15y ago
Yes, Cringely can really be out in left field sometimes. A good example was his recent theory that Tim Cook is only a temporary CEO and that Steve Jobs has a secret hand-picked successor that he will name in the future [1]. I read Cringely partly for the entertainment value and partly because he really does think out of the box. When the strange happens, at least we're not surprised. [1] http://www.cringely.com/2011/08/cupertino-two-step/ http://www.cringely.com/2011/08/cupertino-two-step/
samstave 15y ago
If you are sufficiently connected to massive amounts of information, it is possible to be able to see many possibilities and make accurate predictions which, given the right circumstance, can come true. This doesn't mean that his predictions were so wild - but that reality was so drastically divergent than what would have been perceived to the future. I.E. There are definitely times when one can extrapolate very accurately multiple/many possibilities given an assessment of the current state. Connecting-the-dots.