The Fed is most likely about to start a cycle of interest rate hikes. Historically, such cycles result in a recession about 85% of the time. Maybe this time is

The Fed is most likely about to start a cycle of interest rate hikes. Historically, such cycles result in a recession about 85% of the time. Maybe this time is different. But your default assumption should be that there will be a recession in the next year or two, and you should be prepared for that.