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The flip side of this, is that if the rock is 99.9% right, and the high-minded rationalist is only 99% right, what does that say about the value of his rational
by Imnimo 5y ago
The flip side of this, is that if the rock is 99.9% right, and the high-minded rationalist is only 99% right, what does that say about the value of his rationality?
- Symmetry 5y agoYou have to ask questions about expected value rather than just accuracy to figure that out.
- josephcsible 5y agoWhat if the rock's errors are all false negatives, the high-minded rationalist's errors are all false positives, and false negatives are 100 times worse than false positives?