One way to solve this is that instead of asking for a yes - no answer, you ask for a ranking, and you disallow equally likely. Is bigfoot more or less likely th

One way to solve this is that instead of asking for a yes - no answer, you ask for a ranking, and you disallow equally likely. Is bigfoot more or less likely than telepathy? Is telepathy more ore less likely than the vaccines being dangerous? Are the vaccines being dangeroues more or less likely than some guy achieving cold fusion in his garage? A ranking forcibly brings the metric away from accuracy (which the heuristic can score well on) to something based around precision-recall (which it cannot).