4 ms·
And if 538 were consistently wrong, say wrong 80% of the time, then ~538's prediction gets you right 80% of the time. Win!
by jonnycomputer 5y ago
And if 538 were consistently wrong, say wrong 80% of the time, then ~538's prediction gets you right 80% of the time. Win!
- thetallstick 5y agoDoesn't this only works if an election has two possible outcomes? Revotes and voids are possible as well in most cases. In 2022 these things somehow feel like they're much more likely than before...
- jonnycomputer 5y agoSure. Though in many cases these types of events are pretty low probability events.