5 ms·
Link to the paper discussed in the article: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(22)00172-6/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journ
by js2 5y ago
Link to the paper discussed in the article:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(22)00172-6/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
And the two key paragraphs in the article:
> More unexpected was what the researchers found when they looked at the factors that predicted how many people got infected. Some of the obvious candidates — population density, G.D.P. per capita, and exposure to past coronaviruses — failed to predict much in the way of outcomes. But both trust in government and trust in fellow citizens proved potent.
> This yields the paper’s most striking finding: Moving every country up to the 75th percentile in trust in government — that’s where Denmark sits — would have prevented 13 percent of global infections. Moving every country to the 75th percentile of trust in their fellow citizens — roughly South Korea’s level — would have prevented 40 percent of global infections.
- NoPie 5y ago13% is really not that much. Somehow they mention but then gloss over the most important factor: >> When it comes to deaths caused by infections, no single variable explains everything, or even all that much, with the exception of age. The measures could be more targeted to protection of elderly as was suggested by the Great Barrington declaration and possibly it would have made a big difference. Israel is having another peak despite administering the 4th dose. Turns out that the vaccination rate of elderly (60+ y.o.) is only 90% which is a big failure that no vaccine mandates can fix.