3 ms·
Seriously, I was expecting it to say sometime in the next few hundred thousand years. 3 years is holy crap! This is lucky!
by jquery 5y ago
Seriously, I was expecting it to say sometime in the next few hundred thousand years. 3 years is holy crap! This is lucky!
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]
- sanxiyn 5y agoIn fact, 3 years is too lucky that I must predict this is a false alarm. https://www.science.org/content/article/crash-titans-imminent-merger-giant-black-holes-predicted https://www.science.org/content/article/crash-titans-imminen... reports "Fabian says the chance of such a merger taking place so close to Earth in any given year is one in 10,000" and evidences presented don't seem strong enough to overcome 1:10,000 prior.
- dylan604 5y agoMeh, some lucky bloke eventually wins the powerball too. In our lifetime. Multiple times in some cases, but definitely different winners sometimes weekly. The odds of winning the lottery are a lot higher than 1:10,000. The universe is close to 14 Billion years old. 1:10,000 is like nothing to the universe. There are several orders of magnitude stars in the universe that you could have 1:10,000 events occur daily. You as a member of the very johnny come lately human species (in terms of the universe's age) might feel like 1:10,000 seems high.
- sanxiyn 5y agoSo, are you buying lottery? I mean, I support scratching this particular lottery ticket, because unlike lottery whose reward (money) is fungible, if it pays off we will get information we won't get any other way. But we shouldn't expect to win, that's all I am saying.
- quantified 5y agoGet odds at a bookmaker, let’s see.
- metalliqaz 5y agoodds of winning the lottery are 1:<big number> of plays. Millions of people play the lottery every day. if the odds of this kind of merger are 1:10,000 years, we only get 1 "play" every year.