3 ms·

If 100% of the population is vaxxed and boosted, 100% of the serious cases will be of fully vaccinated patients. I think… check my math?

• disambiguation 5y ago
  Israel's full vaccination rate is ~65% https://ourworldindata.org/vaccination-israel-impact https://ourworldindata.org/vaccination-israel-impact
• itisit 5y ago
  Precisely. The vaccines are highly, but not 100% effective at preventing hospitalization. [0] [0] https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e3.htm https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e3.htm
• radford-neal 5y ago
  Quite right. And furthermore, if 99% of the population is vaxxed, and the vaccine only cuts the incidence of serious illness by (say) a factor of 10, then 90.8% of the seriously ill patients will be vaxxed. And in that case, calling it a "pandemic of the unvaccinated" and concentrating your efforts on trying to force the last 1% of the population to get vaxxed will not help much in reducing the load on hospitals.
• ulrikrasmussen 5y ago
  Exactly. What you need to look at us the incidence of severe disease among each population of vaccinated vs unvaccinated. Comparing absolute numbers is meaningless. The 2-shot vaccination rate in Israel looks to be around 65% right now, and 1 dose around 72% [1]. However, the vaccines are not randomly distributed: we can expect that the vaccinated population contains a lot more people with risk conditions, because they are much more motivated to get the shots. [1] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-people-fully-vaccinated-covid?tab=chart&stackMode=absolute&time=earliest..latest&country=~ISR&region=World https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-people-fully-vaccin...