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No they won’t. The methane contained in their soils will just finish us. As if you were saying that you’d gain Alaska if you get rid of the permafrost. Yeah su

by rq1 5y ago

No they won’t. The methane contained in their soils will just finish us. As if you were saying that you’d gain Alaska if you get rid of the permafrost. Yeah sure but you’ll lose all the rest. The biggest issue with global warming is that it’s a non linear phenomenon. There’s threshold effects involved followed by exponentially worsening situation until we reach a new equilibrium.

yyyk 5y ago
The thresholds kick in over the long term, plenty of time for humanity to counteract, meanwhile Russia gains. Also, the current Russian government will happily sacrifice X million Russians so long as it gains the ruling regime internally and externally - which this process will by default.
- rq1 5y ago
  Long term? I think it will happen before the end of the century. That is not long term to me. They can’t maintain a regime that sacrifices the majority of the population. If they do so, they’ll be kings of… nothing.
  - yyyk 5y ago
    >They can’t maintain a regime that sacrifices the majority of the population. If they do so, they’ll be kings of… nothing. Judging by excess deaths, Russia lost 1 million people to Corona[0]. The government's response is either nothing, or saber-rattling in Ukraine (depending whether you buy the view of their recent actions as a domestic distraction). It's always been very difficult to overestimate the indifference of the Russian government to its own populace's well being, especially when they gain monetaraily and internationally from being indifferent. [0] https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...
    - rq1 5y ago
      They didn’t do it on purpose. You should start the analysis from the population and its reality. Even Staline and Krutchev didn’t manage to get rid of high vodka consumption and alcoholism, where Putin managed while being less brutal. And he’s still popular among the population. I mean there that usually we judge them by our own values, but you need to take into account their reality. They built a great scientific elite over the last century but on the other hand, the rest of the population is not worth more than a third country’s one in terms of education, work and “lumières ethics”. And that gap is huge.

by rq1 5y ago

yyyk 5y ago

The thresholds kick in over the long term, plenty of time for humanity to counteract, meanwhile Russia gains. Also, the current Russian government will happily sacrifice X million Russians so long as it gains the ruling regime internally and externally - which this process will by default.

rq1 5y ago
Long term? I think it will happen before the end of the century. That is not long term to me. They can’t maintain a regime that sacrifices the majority of the population. If they do so, they’ll be kings of… nothing.
- yyyk 5y ago
  >They can’t maintain a regime that sacrifices the majority of the population. If they do so, they’ll be kings of… nothing. Judging by excess deaths, Russia lost 1 million people to Corona[0]. The government's response is either nothing, or saber-rattling in Ukraine (depending whether you buy the view of their recent actions as a domestic distraction). It's always been very difficult to overestimate the indifference of the Russian government to its own populace's well being, especially when they gain monetaraily and internationally from being indifferent. [0] https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-...
  - rq1 5y ago
    They didn’t do it on purpose. You should start the analysis from the population and its reality. Even Staline and Krutchev didn’t manage to get rid of high vodka consumption and alcoholism, where Putin managed while being less brutal. And he’s still popular among the population. I mean there that usually we judge them by our own values, but you need to take into account their reality. They built a great scientific elite over the last century but on the other hand, the rest of the population is not worth more than a third country’s one in terms of education, work and “lumières ethics”. And that gap is huge.