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You can make the story more complex, or you can make it really simple: For the past 2 decades the asumption was that China's outsize growth was just about to st

You can make the story more complex, or you can make it really simple: For the past 2 decades the asumption was that China's outsize growth was just about to stop with an economic crisis and that crisis would be the end of the communist rule. Now that that clearly has not happened, the US has to go war with its upcoming rival. The first part of the war is non-military: A media campaign, tech sanctions, general sanctions, rallying of allies, destabilization of neighbouring countries etc. China has little way of responding however I predict it won't be enough to stop its growth.

dirtyid 5y ago
It's a tidy TLDR, but I didn't get sense most of US blob in the last 20 years were Gordon Chang tier collapsists. They just expected PRC to be foreseeably manageable, whether through economics, or influence, or military. Any one of one of the instruments will do to make PRC subservient in existing order, but Xi dismantled most of them in record time while US was distracted in ME. Then panic when PRC wants a stake in the order as equals or at least proportional to her power, but the cake isn't big enough to share with country size of PRC. Queue your list of interventions.