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>Real estate agents: 49.1 years old automation/online will change it a lot once the older generations of agents and clients leave the scene. > Automotive mech

by trhway 5y ago

>Real estate agents: 49.1 years old automation/online will change it a lot once the older generations of agents and clients leave the scene. > Automotive mechanics: 47.4 years old EVs need them less. Also dealership model got to go. > Bus/Shuttle drivers: 55.6 years old Autonomous. > Housekeeping/Janitorial: 50.1 years old > Home health aides: 47.2 years old for both - immigration and automation. >Electrical trades: 46.8 years old given the low efficiency of the labor here and the high cost of it the area seems to be ready for technological disruption, though honestly i have hard time imagining anything feasible short of human level robot.

plugger 5y ago
>Real estate agents: 49.1 years old automation/online will change it a lot once the older generations of agents and clients leave the scene. IDK about that. I'm a pretty online person but I don't think I would have mortgaged roughly half a million dollars in my name on an online ad alone. I distinctly remember being very excited about a house when were looking to buy only to realise it was hobbit sized in real life. It's pretty hard to know that based off photos alone. > EVs need them less. Also dealership model got to go. Tesla has notorious build quality. Batteries need replacing. > Autonomous. No > for both - immigration and automation. damn, that's cold on multiple levels
wombatpm 5y ago
And Technology. Used to be you needed to know how to solder pipe to work on plumbing. Now with the PEX systems, you push on connections and you are done. Gave serious thought to redoing my father's house in PEX. Then I learned that mice love the plastic. For a house in the woods, that made me stay with copper.
f6v 5y ago
> for both - immigration Yes, let some county train those guys and we’ll just get them for free.
- cbg0 5y ago
  Free? You still have your own citizens that will need a job.
bagacrap 5y ago
In my experience, real estate is often a second or third career. The barrier to entry is very low, the potential pay is very high (also potential for very low pay, but the high ceiling attracts those who feel they're playing catch up), and in the job is all about getting strangers to trust you, which is easier if you're older. For all these reasons people seem to like coming to it relatively late in life.
smsm42 5y ago
For real estate, don't expect automation change anything for the next couple of decades. Yes, all the goodies like online forms, video tours, etc. are already there and RE agents are using them all the time. But it's not the bulk of the work, it's helping people to find what they need at the price they need, and that's much harder to automate. There's a lot of local and domain specific knowledge there that is very hard to capture. As for manual trades like electrical or plumbing - there's nothing even close to "technological disruption" happening there, in fact, if anything, it's going backwards - with time, the gadgets we have become more complex, the regulations pile on, the infrastructure ages, and it becomes harder and harder to do those jobs. And there's absolutely no signs any automation is even on the horizon there.

by trhway 5y ago

plugger 5y ago

>Real estate agents: 49.1 years old automation/online will change it a lot once the older generations of agents and clients leave the scene. IDK about that. I'm a pretty online person but I don't think I would have mortgaged roughly half a million dollars in my name on an online ad alone. I distinctly remember being very excited about a house when were looking to buy only to realise it was hobbit sized in real life. It's pretty hard to know that based off photos alone. > EVs need them less. Also dealership model got to go. Tesla has notorious build quality. Batteries need replacing. > Autonomous. No > for both - immigration and automation. damn, that's cold on multiple levels

wombatpm 5y ago

And Technology. Used to be you needed to know how to solder pipe to work on plumbing. Now with the PEX systems, you push on connections and you are done. Gave serious thought to redoing my father's house in PEX. Then I learned that mice love the plastic. For a house in the woods, that made me stay with copper.

f6v 5y ago

> for both - immigration Yes, let some county train those guys and we’ll just get them for free.

cbg0 5y ago
Free? You still have your own citizens that will need a job.

bagacrap 5y ago

In my experience, real estate is often a second or third career. The barrier to entry is very low, the potential pay is very high (also potential for very low pay, but the high ceiling attracts those who feel they're playing catch up), and in the job is all about getting strangers to trust you, which is easier if you're older. For all these reasons people seem to like coming to it relatively late in life.

smsm42 5y ago

For real estate, don't expect automation change anything for the next couple of decades. Yes, all the goodies like online forms, video tours, etc. are already there and RE agents are using them all the time. But it's not the bulk of the work, it's helping people to find what they need at the price they need, and that's much harder to automate. There's a lot of local and domain specific knowledge there that is very hard to capture. As for manual trades like electrical or plumbing - there's nothing even close to "technological disruption" happening there, in fact, if anything, it's going backwards - with time, the gadgets we have become more complex, the regulations pile on, the infrastructure ages, and it becomes harder and harder to do those jobs. And there's absolutely no signs any automation is even on the horizon there.