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>20 - 30 year estimated wait. From the Congressional research service's report on immigration backlog [1], for applicants from India, the projected backlogs fo
by dilippkumar 5y ago
>20 - 30 year estimated wait.
From the Congressional research service's report on immigration backlog [1], for applicants from India, the projected backlogs for various employment-based green card applications applying in 2020 are:
EB-1: 8 years.
EB-2: 195 years.
EB-3: 27 years.
Projecting out to 2030, the report says (for Indian applicants):
EB-1: 18 years.
EB-2: 436 years.
EB-3: 48 years.
"20-30 years" has been wishful thinking for Indian applicants for a long time now.
[1]. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46291 https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R46291
EDIT: I was bored, so I performed a linear extrapolation using the 2020 and 2030 estimates. Two points and a straight line through them gives:
eb-1 eb-2 eb-3
2024 12 292 36
2023 11 268 34
2022 10 244 32
2021 9 220 30
2020 8 195 27
2019 7 171 25
2018 6 147 23
2017 5 123 21
2016 4 99 19
2015 3 75 17
2014 2 51 15
2013 1 27 13
All numbers in years. The numbers are rounded up to the next highest integer. Note that a straight line through these two points isn't necessarily the correct model but whatever.
- coconoco 5y agoWhat the difference between ev-1, 2 and 3?
- BhavdeepSethi 5y agoThese numbers are probably off because USCIS wasn't processing any GC during the pandemic. As of now, EB-1 is current and EB-2 is 10 years.
- dilippkumar 5y agoThese numbers were estimates made from before the pandemic. If anything, the pandemic cut a few years of waiting as unused family slots rolled over into employment based slots. EB-2 is definitely not a 10 year wait.
- diebeforei485 5y agoMost people on EB-2 also qualify for EB-3, so the EB2 and EB3 numbers should be averaged out. Instead of 244 and 32 for 2022, perhaps it should be ~140 for each column. Not that it matters, of course.