3 ms·
>If you make developers 50x more efficient, won't you need 50x fewer developers? Developers today are 50X more efficient than when they had to input machine co
by alasdair_ 5y ago
>If you make developers 50x more efficient, won't you need 50x fewer developers?
Developers today are 50X more efficient than when they had to input machine code on punched tape, yet the number of developers needed today is far larger than it was in those times.
- throw10920 5y agoThere's no reason to believe that we'll need another 50x more developers, though.
- solarmist 5y agoThere isn't? I feel like there's still a ton of places software hasn't even touched and not because it doesn't make sense, but because no one's gotten to it. It's not the most profitable thing people could write software for.
- alasdair_ 5y agoEven if not, the original claim was that we may see a 50X decrease and I personally don't think that is likely, pre-Singularity anyway :)
- qualudeheart 5y agoBut think how large of a job program that would have been. Hundreds of people manually writing assembly and paid middle class wages. Not a compiler in sight. In the years leading up to the singularity I’d expect to see a lot of Graeberian “Bullshit Jobs”. Everyone knows they’re BS but as a society we allow them because we aren’t willing to implement socialism or UBI.
- woadwarrior01 5y agohttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox