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Absolutely not! The only way that you can believe this is if you a) consider the preservation of human civilization to be approximately equal, in terms of signi
by ouid 5y ago
Absolutely not! The only way that you can believe this is if you a) consider the preservation of human civilization to be approximately equal, in terms of significance to your decision making, to living a more comfortable life personally. In this instance, we are at war, and I have nothing to say to you, so you can stop reading. Or b) you are making a very serious error in your calculation.
Imagine that you the kind of immortal being that can still die in car crashes, but you never age. Whenever you take a risk, of death say, in order to get the expected utility of taking this risk, you need to multiply your risk ,which is a small number, by the opportunity cost of that risk, which is an infinite life's worth of utility. I do not, like many of the "rationalists" believe that this figure is infinity, but it is very obviously much larger than your risk is small. It's hard to reason about, but I urge you to imagine it in the shower with the lights off. Really try to get into that space, and imagine what risks you would consider to be acceptable as an immortal.
Humanity is such an immortal being, but it currently lacks the tools to act for itself. We can build those tools, but that will take time and lots and lots of thought.
- tehjoker 5y agoThis is an interesting spin on the age old risk assessment question. Thanks.