It seems like most people think they’re better than average at judging the character of others, which cannot be true [1]. Under testing, everyone seems to be p

It seems like most people think they’re better than average at judging the character of others, which cannot be true [1]. Under testing, everyone seems to be pretty bad at recognizing liars [2]. It’s especially hard to get good because it’s often an open loop, since good liars are never caught at all (classic toupee fallacy — you think you’re good at catching liars because you don’t know about the ones you missed), you never really get the chance to calibrate. [1]: maybe with specific definitions of “average” and a very lopsided distribution, but I’m doubting that the people who think they have exceptional judges of character actually believe that they are above the mean but near the mode; usually, if someone is “exceptional,” I assume they’re in a high percentile [2]: https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/03/how-to-spot-a-liar/618425/ https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/03/how-to-s... — https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26607386 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26607386